Topic: midterms
Trump hit record lows in September, but only one poll puts him in the 20s
One poll has Trump at 29%. His polling average is a record-low 37.6%. The Hill column’s smaller numbers each round toward its thesis.
Trump’s Third Dividend Promise
A $5,000 check to every adult, if Republicans keep Congress. Two earlier per-person dividend promises produced no payments. The one that did pay was already funded by Congress.
Trump’s ‘National Scallops Day’: What the Post Gets Right, Leaves Out, and Gets Wrong
The NOAA action opening the Northern Edge of Georges Bank is real, but the post misattributes a 32-year-old Clinton-era closure to Obama and Biden, falsely credits Biden as co-creator of the…
Trump’s Approval Craters to 38.6% as Democrats Lead by 7 Points
Models predict a 28 to 46 House seat loss this cycle, and recent midterm polling has been historically accurate. This is the data behind the collapse.
Is He Really Polling This Badly? A Data-Driven Midterm Reality Check
Trump is at 38.6% approval, the lowest of either term. Historical models predict 37-46 House seat losses. Even a 2020-sized polling error leaves Democrats ahead.