Topic: polarization
The Denial Thesis: Checking a Popular Argument About Trump’s Voters
Verdicts: 1 True, 1 Mostly True, 1 Mixed, 2 Unproven, 2 Misleading, 3 False
The individual facts in the argument mostly hold. The causal story bolted onto them does not, and on the two claims where the data can test a sequence, the arrow runs the other way.
Has Education Overtaken Race as America’s Key Ideological Divider?
Verdicts: 1 Mostly True
Mostly True — a peer-reviewed PNAS Nexus study confirms education-based ideology gaps (0.72 SD) now exceed racial gaps (0.27 SD), but race still dominates actual voting behavior by a 1.7× wider…
Can America Actually Split? The National Divorce Feasibility Analysis
Americans agree on 70% of policies but think they disagree on everything — a national split is geographically impossible, economically suicidal, militarily unthinkable, and constitutionally void.